Jack’s Back! Almost

Chris Jack is back in the southern hemisphere where he belongs and where his friends are. Of course he’s presently playing for the wrong team but sources say that won’t last long. How long did it take him to score his first try? Watch the short clip above to find out. (Thanks to Gum for sending us the clip.)

Springboks Slay Lions

Jacque Fourie try

Congratulations to John Smit and the Boks for standing up to the awesome challenge thrown at them by Paul O’Connell’s British and Irish Lions last night. It was a brilliant contest that went down to the wire.

The Lions came out playing for their lives and dominated early on. The tight Springbok machine of Durban was in disarray early on thanks to some eye-gouging idiocy from Schalk Burger.

Frankly, the Lions probably should’ve won this one. That they didn’t says volumes about the impact of Springbok super-subs Jaque Fourie and Morné Steyn. These two came on in the last quarter and together contributed 13 of the Boks’ 28 points.

Steyn's 55m penaltyFourie’s try (pictured above) was heroic. Steyn’s 55m series-ending penalty after the hooter (left) will go down in Springbok legend.

Speaking of super-subs, I should also mention the outstanding Heinrich Brüssow, an outstanding impact player and flanker. It was his pass that led to Fourie’s try in the corner.

The last two weeks we’ve been treated to some awesome rugby. Unfortunately, none of it has come from Australia or New Zealand – it’s all been played in the Republic. With the Tri-Nations a month away the Springboks have established themselves as the team to beat.

Springboks Looking Blue and Ominous

Bulls victory

Congratulations to Victor Matfield and his rampaging Bulls for removing any doubt as to who was the best Super 14 team in 2009. Over the years we’ve had occasion to pour scorn on the Bulls one-dimensional game, but last Saturday they proved they’re the complete package. Their eight-try demolition job on the Chiefs was truly historic. They attacked from every part of the field and scored points everywhere.

Fourie du Preez started the rout with two clever tries about a minute apart. Bryan Habana was finally getting good ball and he also delivered a couple of tries. Wynand Olivier’s blond head was popping up all of the field and he scored too. So did three forwards: Pierre Spies, Danie Rossouw and Victor Matfield.

My personal favourite was Matfield’s try. He collected the ball from a ruck about 3m out and went straight over the top of everyone like an American footballer.

Coach Peter de Villiers has just announced his 28 man Springok squad. Unsurprisingly it includes 10 Bulls players. Morné Steyn has made the team. Steyn is the in-form kicker of the SANZAR nations. In terms of goal-kicking he’s up there with the best knocking over 11 drop goals during the Super season. His tactical kicking is also not bad but I have yet to see whether he can tackle like Carter. But keep your eye on this young man.

The International Test season is upon us and the Springboks already look like winners. They have quality players, proven combinations, and they will probably eat the British and Irish Lions for lunch. They already look ominimous for the Tri-Nations.

(For Northern Hemisphere readers, the Tri-Nations is what it is all about down here.)

In New Zealand Graham Henry has struggled to find 15 healthy All Blacks and his idea of preparation is playing lowly Italy. Robbie Deans has been dealt a worse hand with the Wallabies. None of the Australian teams got within cooee of making the finals and the young talent isn’t quite coming through fast enough to replace his aging stars.

If I were a Wallaby supporter I would be ringing Robbie Deans and asking if he’s got any magic tricks up his sleeves and wondering how fast he can poach some talent from the NSWRL.

If I were an All Black supporter I’d be ringing Dan Carter, Richie McCaw, Rodney So’oialo, Sitiveni Sivivatu,  Anthony Boric, and Andy Ellis and asking how the therapy’s going.

If I were a Springbok supporter I would be feeling fairly confident about the 3N at this point.

Muliaina Dominates S14 Final Speech-making Contest

mils muliainaThe S14 season closed with an unexpectedly one-sided contest over the weekend as Chief’s captain Mils Muliaina won the post-match captain’s speech in emphatic style.

Muliaina was in fine form scoring points seemingly at will with his gracious acceptance of the outcome, his praise for the refs and, of course, the victorious team. His articulation was clear and his emotion controlled in what was a truly remarkable display of determination given the earlier match result.

Showing his experience, Muliaina never missed a beat and even threw in a few surprises. During the obligatory thanks to the sponsers at the beginning of the speech Muliaina worked in a reference to the current economic crisis thus scoring points with listeners facing financial insecurity.

But the coup de grace came near the end of his allotted time when Muliaina even praised the rabid Bulls supporters at Loftus Versfeld. The home crowd, which had earlier booed the Chiefs, were disarmed and delighted by the visiting captain’s grace and courtesy. Grinning like a kid Muliaina seemed to be aware that he had just turned in an historic performance.

Bulls captain Victor Matfield evidently knew it too and could only look on with muted applause.

Post-script: Evidently impressed by Chief captain’s dominance of the post-match speech-making, All Black coach Graham Henry quickly announced that Muliaina would be captaining the NZ team for the home tests against France and Italy. Henry was quoted as being delighted with Muliaina’s performance in the pressure-cooker of the S14 final. “Sure, his team let in eight tries and only looked good for about seven minutes, but did you hear that speech? Just marvellous! Hansen and I were in tears.”

Super 14 Semi-Final Predictions (2009)

Super14TrophyWhat another brilliant finale to a fiercely-fought season! The last game of the regular season finished just a few hours ago with only one point separating the first and sixth-best teams in the league. Commiserations to all the Sharks fans out there who must be heart-broken after their team came oh so close. Another few minutes and a drop goal would’ve put your team in the final four.

At the start of the season we predicted the Chiefs and the Crusaders to make the final four and they did. We also predicted the Tahs would be the best of the Aussie teams and they were.

We predicted the Bulls would have the measure of the Sharks and they did, but we also predicted the Sharks would finish higher on the table, yet they didn’t.

We predicted the Canes would lose to the better teams and they did, going down to the Tahs, Bulls, Sharks and Chiefs. But they also notched up some impressive wins over the Saders and the Brumbies.

Just four teams remain. Here are our predictions for the semi-finals.

Canes_ChiefsOn Friday the Hurricanes meet the Chiefs in Waikato. This is a rematch of the game they played just last weekend. In that one the Canes were soundly beaten by Stephen Donald.

History favours the Canes in this derby – they usually smash the Chiefs. But the Chiefs are on a winning roll having lost just once in their last ten outings.

My only question is whether the Chiefs have the BMT to deliver the goods on the day. They have little finals experience, but they have many experienced players. Led by the brilliant Mils Muliaini, they should be able to shut down the Canes running game. I expect the Chiefs to win by 6.

On Saturday the 2008 champions meet the 2007 champions in Pretoria. Earlier in the season we suggested that the Sharks were the pretenders to the Crusaders’ throne but the Bulls are just as keen for a change in dynasty.

Bulls_SadersSince the middle of the 2008 season the Bulls have been in phenomenal form losing just 3 of their last 17 games. They are the winningest side in Super Rugby over the past 14 months.

That said, history favours the Crusaders with the men in red beating the men in blue 11 times to 3 in Super Rugby matches. The Crusaders won a tight game in Christchurch this season and blew the Bulls out of the water in Pretoria last season. Can they do it again this weekend? You better believe it.

The Crusaders had a horror start to the 2009 season but have won 7 of their last 8 games. Significantly, this young side has improved with every game. They play boring low-scoring rugby, but it’s effective. Their red wall is the best defense in the league. Provided the erratic Stephen Brett doesn’t kick the game away, I expect the Crusaders to win by 2.

And what of the 2009 grand final? I predict the last match of the season will be a rematch of the very first match of the season – Crusaders v. Chiefs.

Postscript: Far be it from us to toot our own horns, but last year we correctly called the winners of both the semi-finals and the grand final.

How to Fix Super Rugby

premier_league_logoApparently Super Rugby is broken and needs fixing. The money men want more games but the players want less. More games means more excitement and more advertising dollars. But more games also means more injuries, therefore less excitement and fewer advertising dollars. It’s a catch-22 situation.

News out of Dublin yesterday suggests the suits have won the day with the competition being expanded to 15 teams in 2011 and the finals extended to 6 games. Although the details have not been announced, the fact that the ARU are happy about the initiative suggests that the extra team may be an Australian side. This would be both fair and stupid. Fair, because New Zealand and South Africa already have five teams each. Stupid, because there aren’t enough quality players in Australia to make up four Super Rugby teams let alone five.

More intriguing is the possibility that the 15th team will be composed of Argentinean players based on the Gold Coast of Australia.

There’s no doubt that forging a deal which keeps all three SANZAR unions happy was going to be tricky. Neither should there be any doubt that the Super Rugby competition is the best in the world and worth preserving. So I for one am glad that the unions are staying together.

But this doesn’t resolve the fundamental conflict of developing the tournament without killing the players or turning it into a glorified Currie/Air NZ Cup. So allow me to offer my solution – the Jekyll Plan – which can be summarized in a word: relegation.

The basic plan looks like this:

  • limit the Super Rugby competition to 10-14 teams
  • at the end of each season the bottom 2-3 teams are eliminated and sent down to play in the Currie Cup or Air New Zealand Cup
  • conversely, the best 2-3 teams from the provincial competitions win the opportunity to compete in premier tournament
  • players can only play in one competition per season
  • the A and B competitions could be run consecutively (as at present) or concurrently on alternating weekends

Of course this proposal would require a radical reworking of the provincial tournaments. At present, there is no clear line separating the provincial sides from their respective Super Rugby franchises. Australia doesn’t even have a provincial tournament. But these details could be worked out. For example, players in Canterbury could have the option of playing for either Canterbury or the Crusaders, but not both. Or players in Pretoria could play for the Blue Bulls or the Bulls, but not both. Separating the two competitions is both good for business and for the development of the game.

The advantages of the Jekyll Plan are too good to ignore:

  • player welfare would be enhanced with fewer games and longer recovery periods (eg: more byes)
  • if the Aussies couldn’t organize their own provincial league they could play in the Air NZ tournament making that league more competitive and promoting the development of players from both countries
  • the competition among the weaker performing Super Rugby teams would intensify, particularly toward the end of the season; they would be playing for more than just pride
  • the competition among the better performing provincial teams would intensify
  • best of all, better competition would lead to higher team revenues reducing the disparity with Northern Hemisphere clubs; players could be paid what they deserve and the northern exodus of talent would decline

Relegation and promotion are common in many sports but are rarely seen in the SANZAR nations. Adopting the Jekyll Plan will require creativity and management – but isn’t that what the suits get paid for?

Mortlock Breaks Individual Scoring Record

South Africa Super 14 RugbyI happened to catch only two minutes of yesterday’s match between the Brumbies and the Blues, but it was an historic two minutes for I saw Mortlock nail a conversion and break the all-time Super Rugby scoring record. With the conversion Mortlock now has 992 points, two more than Andrew Mehrtens. It wasn’t his best kick. Kicking from right to left Mortlock pulled it a tad and the ball hit the left-hand upright before falling between the posts. But it counted and Mortlock is a deserving record-holder. Congratulations Stirling!

Next week the Brumbies play the Chiefs. If the in-form Chiefs win, it will be the end of the Brumbies season. The question in everyone’s mind is whether Mortlock can deliver 8 more points and crack the 1,000 mark in 2009. Now that would be really something.

How safe is Mortlock’s record? The answer to that depends on Dan Carter’s health. Read more »

The Most Important Match of the Season – Sharks v Saders

RUGBY-SUPER/For years the Super 14 has been dominated by one team, the apparently invincible Crusaders. Each season the championship has been theirs to win or lose. They have played in six of the past seven finals and won four of those. Their non-appearance at 2007’s final could be attributed to the All Blacks disastrous rotation policy which kept the best players out of the team for half of the season. The 2009 season bares a resemblance to 2007 given the absence of many talented players. The Crusaders are currently sitting eighth on the ladder and are looking decidedly mortal.

Is this the end of the era of Crusaders’ dominance? Read more »

Crusader Autopsy

todd-blackadderPrior to the start of the season we predicted Richie McCaw would lead a depleted Crusader side to the playoffs in 2009. Well Richie won’t be leading anyone anywhere for a while yet. He’s broken, as is the entire club. Richie went down in the 31st minute of yesterday’s loss to the Highlanders a crippled symbol of the club’s gloomy future.

The Saders have lost three out of their first four games. That’s more losses than they had in the entire 2008 season. Only once before have the Saders lost three in a row in a regular Super season, and that was at the very beginning of the very first season in 1996. That year they finished 12th out of 12 teams.

The scary thing is they haven’t yet played any of the teams currently on top of the table.

If you want to know why the team is struggling, just look at the list of players who were in the championship side last season. I’ve highlighted those players who remain active…
Read more »

Super 14 Predictions (2009)

Over the last week we’ve had a few hundred hits on the post with my predictions for last year’s S14 tournament, so I thought I’d better gaze into the ol’ crystal ball and see what the coming season looks like. And for the record, we’re pretty darn accurate here at Rugby Asteroid. We picked the Crusaders to win at the start of last season and they did. However, we dropped the ball big time on the runners up. We expected the Sharks to finish 2nd but they came 3rd. Oh well, nobody’s perfect. Read more »

Wallabies Finish With Beautiful Game

lote_try

I didn’t recognize many of the new Wallaby players running onto the field to play against the Barbarians the other night, but they shattered a perception that there is no depth of talent in Australia. Boy, what a game they played! Under 80 minutes of relentless pressure from the all-star Baa-Baas, the Wallaby wall was all but impenetrable. In terms of defense they played near-perfect rugby. The final score was 18-11 to Australia. Read more »

Best Grand Slam Ever

grand-slam-2008

The All Blacks have just completed their Grand Slam tour of the United Kingdom. This is being touted as their third Grand Slam against the Home Unions, the others being in 1978 and 2005, but it is actually their fourth. Pick&Go has put up some interesting stats and notes that the All Blacks defeated all four Home Unions in the 1995 World Cup in South Africa.

The 2008 Grand Slam was not as emphatic as the last one in 2005. That was the tour where Graham Henry was fielding completely different sides on alternate weeks. The ABs would have trouble putting two world-class sides together now, but the one they have is pretty good. For the first time they managed to win the series without conceding a single try. Here are the numbers…

2008: New Zealand (12 tries) vs Opponents (0 tries), average score 29-6
2005: NZ (16 tries) vs Opp. (3 tries), average score 35-10
1995: NZ (20 tries) vs Opp. (10 tries), average score 43-22
1978: NZ (6 tries) vs Opp. (1 tries), average score 14-8

So, another trophy goes in this cabinet. This one is the Hillary Shield plus whatever a team gets for winning the Grand Slam.

And that’s 2008 wrapped up. It’s been another championship year for the All Blacks – they’ve won everything on offer and they’ve won in every country in which they’ve played.

So what happens now while we wait for 2011? Beat everyone again next year? What else have you got.

Was Richie Robbed?

richie_mccaw-bloodiedA few hours ago the 2008 IRB Player of the Year Award was given to Shane Williams of Wales. Without wanting to diminish the brilliance of Williams’ award-winning year, I have to wonder what more Richie McCaw could have done to impress the IRB panel.

Consider these facts…

- He won every test-match he played in this year. Without him the ABs stumbled.

- He led the Crusaders to a Super 14 champtionship.

- He led the All Blacks to victories in the Tri-Nations and Bledisloe Cup tournaments.

- He helped Keiran Read and Canterbury win the Air New Zealand Cup.

- He’s on the verge of leading the All Blacks to a second Grand Slam.

He never lost a game and he won every single cup on offer. Sheesh, what more could the guy have done to show he’s the greatest player in the game today?

What do you think?

IRB Team of the Year 2008 – New Zealand

haka-stare-down

Here’s a touching photo showing the All Blacks lining up to be hugged by Jonathan Kaplan who is obviously impressed with their recent award-winning performance. Good on you Kaplan – you’re a dodgy ref but you’re a sport.

The All Blacks may have lost the staring contest the Welsh gave them on Saturday, but they’re still pretty good at rugby having won 12 of 14 test matches this year. They have also won in every country in which they have played.

IRB Player of the Year 2008 – Shane Williams

shane-williams

Evidently the wise men of the IRB Awards Panel don’t share my views regarding Carter’s world-beating form this year, so my heartiest congratulations to Shane Williams for taking out the Player of the Year gong. The try he scored against the Springboks was alone worth a medal and we have had occasion to rave about Williams before. He is a class player. Little men of the world rejoice!

Actually, I don’t even think Carter should have won the award. My first choice would’ve gone to a player who wasn’t even in the short-list. But this player stood out from his peers by turning in MVP performances time and time again. In contrast with Carter and Williams he did not lose a single test match that he played in this year. They don’t call him “talismanic” for nothing.

irb-2008Who is this superstar player? He’s the guy holding the Team of the Year Award trophy in the photo on the left. I guess the IRB were reluctant to give the peerless Richie McCaw two trophies in a single ceremony.

Speaking of multiple trophies, well done again to King Henry who really has won two in two weeks. Henry has led his team to 12 of 14 victories this season. This is actually down a little on his overall win-loss ratio of 87% – a truly matchless performance that has been achieved over a sustained period of time.

If you want, you can read about the other award winners here. But a word of warning – the list may not be of much interest to non-New Zealanders.

Dan Carter Defeats Entire Welsh Team Again

carters-cupsOn Saturday night Dan Carter outscored the Welsh team for the fourth time in five games.

Carter, you may recall, made his stunning debut against the Welsh back in 2003 scoring 20 points. It was an auspicious start which Carter seems to commemorate every time he plays Wales. Just look at the numbers…

21 Jun 2003 NZ beat Wales at Hamilton 55-3 (Carter scored 20)
20 Nov 2004 NZ beat Wales at Cardiff 26-25 (Carter scored 11)
5 Nov 2005 NZ beat Wales at Cardiff 41-3 (Carter scored 26)
25 Nov 2006 NZ beat Wales at Cardiff 45-10 (Carter scored 16)
22 Nov 2008 NZ beat Wales at Cardiff 29-9, (Carter scored 19)

In five tests, most of them played in Wales, Dan Carter has scored an average 18 points per game while the entire Welsh team has managed only 10.

What is the significance of all this?

Tonight some old men are going to hand out the IRB player of the year award. Two of the players on their short-list are Welshman Shane Williams and New Zealander Dan Carter. The two faced off on Saturday night in Cardiff.

Williams had a forgettable game kicking away possession frequently and making a bad error that led to an All Black try in the final minute of the game.

Carter, who apparently has had a sup-par year, put 19 points on the board, played with his usual flair, and was a key element in holding the back-line together.

Guess who gets my vote.

Is PDV a Great Bok Coach?

pdvI was listening to the BBC commentary on Saturday’s game at Twickenham. The commentator noted that Peter de Villiers now had a win-loss record of almost 70%, comparable with some of the great Bok coaches of old.

My goodness, the bar has dropped hasn’t it? Under PDV’s leadership the Boks have won 9 out of 13 games. The games they’ve lost have all been to better teams like the All Blacks (to whom the Boks have lost twice) and the Wallabies (another two losses). The games they’ve won have all been against lower-ranked teams like England, Scotland and Wales.

In other words, under PDV’s leadership the Boks have merely maintained their relative position in the world tables.

To be correct, they have actually fallen in the ranks. Thanks to the bonus points given out to RWC winners, the Boks began the year with the Number One ranking. That did not last long. Now they’re third with the Argies and a host of other sides breathing down their necks.

PDV may indeed be considered by his countrymen a great Bok coach. But I don’t think taking a Number 1 team to the Number 3 position in just four months is particularly great coaching.

No, if you want to see what a great coach looks like, you’ve got to look elsewhere.

Boks Silence RWC Doubters by Beating England Again

danie-rossouw

If there was any doubt that the Boks were deserving World Champs, they silenced it with an emphatic five try romp over the English at Twickenham on Saturday. They showed that their two wins over England last year were no flukes.

After the match captain John Smit said “I know some folks don’t think we’re the best team in the world because we can’t beat New Zealand or Australia, but look, we’ve beaten England three times in the past year alone. Surely that counts for something.”

Lock Bakkies Botha agreed. “England were runners-up in the 6 Nations, and they’re a good side. Look, Martin Johnson’s their manager and he’s a former World Cup winner. Beating them three times surely makes up for being the whipping boys of SANZAR rugby.”

Coach Peter De Villiers was more emphatic. “This is the Rugby Football Union we’re talking about here, not some colonial offshoot like the NZRU or the ARU. We beat England in the RWC heats. We beat them in the Final. And now we’ve beaten them at Twickenham. We have nothing left to prove.”

Coach Graham Henry of the All Blacks had no comment.

4 Southern Hemisphere Teams on Top

The latest world rankings from the IRB show, not three, but four southern hemisphere teams on top of the world…

1. New Zealand

2. Australia

3. South Africa

4. Argentina

Welcome to the club Argentina! Now if only Fiji could improve its rankings by five places we’d have a monopoly on the top five.

Munster Contest Phenomenal!

munster_haka

If you haven’t seen the Munster-All Black game that was played on Tuesday night, stop reading this post (spoilers galore!) and go watch it. It was the best game of rugby I’ve seen in a long time. Finally, the ABs found a northern hemisphere team that knows how to play real rugby.

New Zealand very nearly didn’t win. Munster were leading until the 75th minute and they, along with their 26,000 Red Army, knew they were on the verge of something historic.

Forget Ireland and that tepid performance at Croke Park on Saturday! This game was about pride in the red jersey and the 15 old men sitting in the VIP seats who had defeated the ABs back in 1978. There were 15 young men on the field who had every intention of joining them.

Munster played with a provincial passion that saw them pile into every break-down and smash loosies and half-backs at every opportunity. Never mind how the scrum held up – it’s what they were doing when the ball came out that impressed me. Fortunately Liam Messam had an MVP-performance at Number 8, but Piri Weepu, captaining NZ for the first time, was frequently hit before he could off-load. Peter Stringer remains a world-class scrum-half in my book and in terms of passion, he had the edge over his opposite number.

The game opened with a haka performed by the four New Zealanders on the Munster team. The All Blacks held back with their’s and watched Rua Tupoki et al. while the crowd went berserk. It was a sight to behold. Who would’ve thought that a haka of four ex-pats could upstage an All Black haka? Just brilliant.

As for the game? It was manic, free-flowing, fast-running, chaotic and barely controlled rugby. For once a northern hemisphere ref let the players get on with it and the crowd loved it. (Promote that man Paddy!) The only time the fans stopped their deafening roar was for kicks. Penalties on both sides were kicked in total silence. Amazing.

This was only the second time the two teams have met since the AB’s scoreless loss on Halloween in 1978 and this was the first return to Thomond Park. The sense of occasion seemed to bring out the best in the Munster boys while the ABs gave me the impression they were playing for black jerseys. There were moments of sublime skills punctuated by dumb errors.

Stephen Donald had an awesome first half then went cold as ice in the second. He missed four kicks in a row, just to keep things interesting. Joe Rokocoko was both hero and villain. He let in Munster’s only try (to Barry Murphy) by being generally AWOL on the left wing most of the night, then scored the game-winning try by playing his position in the dying minutes.

Munster had some nice moves, particularly the one off the scrum that led to a try. But they kicked possession away far too often in the second half. To all the Irish lads out there, hearken now unto the gospel of Richie as preached in Canterbury: “get the pill and hang onto it.”

The ABs looked threatening whenever they got the ball – they just couldn’t hold onto it. There was a sense that the breakthrough try must come at any time, but the Munster boys did all they could to kill the momentum. I don’t know if it was tactical or if they were really playing beyond their limits, but with every stoppage of play in the last quarter there would be 2 or 3 red players on the ground catching their breath, or stretching their hammies. It seemed that every few minutes another player was going off injured. Full credit to the locals for giving it their all.

But in the last 10 minutes the wind went out of the Munster sails. Brad Thorn came on to steady the twitchy Kiwi pack and Mils Muliani brought much-needed composure to the backs. A driving maul from the ABs steam-rolled its way downfield and this led to some sweet-passing and the game-winning try on the far wing.

Munster did have one more shot at winning the game, but an odd kick from the otherwise reliable Paul Warwick ended up in touch and it was all over. It was a great contest from both sides. Munster did their province proud and very, very nearly repeated history.

Note to the NZRU – never go back to Thomond Park!